简谐激励作用下轴向运动梁横向振动特性分析

为分析简谐激励作用下轴向运动梁的横向振动问题,采用单元数目及长度固定不变、节点参数在不同时间步下无缝传递的节点生死方法,建立了时变系统的动力学有限元模型,通过已有实例验证了模型的准确性和有效性。在此基础上,分析了架设速度、激励力频率和幅值对某型平推式军用桥梁架设过程横向动力响应的影响规律。结果表明,在架设过程中,当桥梁的时变固有频率与激励力频率接近时,桥梁位移动态响应呈共振的特点,据此提出了减小某型平推式军用桥梁架设过程动力响应的措施。     

Exponential stability and applications of switched positive linear impulsive systems with time-varying delays and all unstable subsystems

The global uniform exponential stability of switched positive linear impulsive systems with time-varying delays and all unstable subsystems is studied in this paper, which includes two types of distributed time-varying delays and discrete time-varying delays. Switching behaviors dominating the switched systems can be either stabilizing and destabilizing in the new designed switching sequence. We design new linear programming algorithm process to find the feasible ratio of stabilizing switching behaviors, which can be compensated by unstable subsystems, destabilizing switching behaviors, and impulses. Specically, we add a kind of nonnegative impulses which is consistent with the switching behaviors for the systems. Employing a multiple co-positive Lyapunov-Krasovskii functional, we present several new sufficient stability criteria and design new switching sequence. Then, we apply the obtained stability criteria to the exponential consensus of linear delayed multi-agent systems, and obtain the new exponential consensus criteria. Three simulations are provided to demonstrate the proposed stability criteria.     

Improved results on robust exponential stability criteria for neutral-type delayed neural networks

In this paper, we investigate the problem of robust global exponential stability analysis for a class of neutral-type neural networks. The interval time-varying delays allow for both slow and fast time-varying delays. The values of the time-varying uncertain parameters are assumed to be bounded within given compact sets. Improved global exponential stability condition is derived by employing new Lyapunov-Krasovskii functional and the integral inequality. The developed nominal and robust stability criteria is delay-dependent and characterized by linear-matrix inequalities (LMIs). The developed results are less conservative than previous published ones in the literature, which are illustrated by representative numerical examples.     

具变时滞的非线性退化微分系统的渐近稳定性判据

In this paper, the asymptotic stability for singular differential nonlinear systems with multiple time-varying delays is considered. The V-functional method for general singular differential delay system is investigated. The asymptotic stability criteria for singular differential nonlinear systems with multiple time-varying delays are derived based on V-functional method and some analytical techniques, which are described as matrix equations or matrix inequalities. The results obtained are computationally flexible and efficient.     

ADDITIVE HAZARDS MODEL WITH TIME-VARYING REGRESSION COEFFICIENTS

This article discusses regression analysis of failure time under the additive hazards model, when the regression coefficients are time-varying. The regression coefficients are estimated locally based on the pseudo-score function [12] in a window around each time point. The proposed method can be easily implemented, and the resulting estimators are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal with easily estimated variances. The simulation studies show that our estimation procedure is reliable and useful.     

Synchronization of Takagi–Sugeno fuzzy stochastic discrete-time complex networks with mixed time-varying delays

In this paper, we propose and investigate a new general model of fuzzy stochastic discrete-time complex networks (SDCNs) described by Takagi–Sugeno (T–S) fuzzy model with discrete and distributed time-varying delays. The proposed model takes some well-studied models as special cases. By employing a new Lyapunov functional candidate, we utilize some stochastic analysis techniques and Kronecker product to deduce delay-dependent synchronization criteria that ensure the mean-square synchronization of the proposed T–S fuzzy SDCNs with mixed time-varying delays. These sufficient conditions are computationally efficient as it can be solved numerically by the LMI toolbox in Matlab. A numerical simulation example is provided to verify the effectiveness and the applicability of the proposed approach.     

具有时变滞后的随机系统的时滞依赖鲁棒稳定性与H_∞分析

研究具有时变滞后与Markov跳跃的随机系统的鲁棒随机稳定性与H_∞分析.通过引进随机Liapunov-Krasovskii泛函,使用自由权矩阵技术(即何技术),得到时滞依赖鲁棒随机稳定性与H_∞扰动衰减的线性矩阵不等式判据.3个数值例子说明提供的方法是有效的,并且与相关文献中存在的一些结果相比是低保守的.     

基于Copula的供应链金融质物组合价格风险测度研究

本文选取白银、铝和铜三种供应链金融质物作为研究对象,在分析三种质物收益率统计特征的基础上,引入Copula模型刻画供应链金融业务中质物收益率的“尖峰厚尾”特征以及质物收益率之间的非线性相关结构;采用Monte Carlo模拟方法测度考虑到极端情况下的质物组合价格风险值CVaR;利用时间平方根法则测度长周期视角下质物组合的价格风险。将CVaR与VaR测度结果进行对比,比较分析短期价格风险与长期价格风险,将Copula模型与传统风险测度方法下计算出的风险值进行对比,以期选取最优测度供应链金融质物组合长期价格风险模型。研究结果表明:从单一质物价格波动特征来看,三种单一质物的收益率均存在非正态分布和“尖峰厚尾”特征,具有一般金融资产收益率分布的特点。从模型的有效性来看,第一,CVaR比VaR能够更好地、全面地测度供应链金融质物组合的价格风险;第二,基于Copula模型的风险测度结果比传统集成风险测度结果的准确性高;第三,平方欧式距离法结果表明在五种Copula模型中,t-Copula是最优刻画供应链金融质物组合收益率间的相依关系的模型。从长短期风险测度结果来看,随着风险期限的增加,质物组合的价格风险值随之增大,以往研究中用短期风险测度往往会低估商业银行所面临的价格风险,不利于商业银行资金信贷的优化配置。得到的结论对我国商业银行开展供应链金融业务防范价格风险提供了量化支持。     

基于时变阈值过程神经网络的太阳黑子数预测

太阳黑子活动直接影响着外层空间环境的变化，为保证航天飞行任务的安全必须对其进行有效预测.为此，提出了一种基于时变阈值过程神经网络的时间序列预测模型.为简化模型的计算复杂度，开发了一种基于正交基函数展开的学习算法.文中分析了模型的泛函逼近能力，并以Mackey-Glass时间序列预测为例验证了所提模型及其学习算法的有效性.最后，将该预测模型用于太阳活动第23周太阳黑子数平滑月均值预测，取得了满意的结果，应用结果同时表明：所提预测方法与其他传统预测方法相比预测精度有所提高，具有一定的理论和实用价值. 关键词： 太阳黑子数 时变阈值过程神经网络 时间序列预测 泛函逼近